Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:06 am at Houston)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 26–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1296 Southwest	HOU 19:01	COS 20:25	26%	6%	0.6%	no record
WN 4385 Southwest Flight history →	HOU 14:40	COS 16:00	31%	6%	0.6%	54%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 05:30 → DEN 06:55WN 1970	1h 55m Denver	DEN 08:50 → COS 09:38WN 4386	5h 08m	100%	90%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:30 → LAS 06:30WN 3671	2h 20m Las Vegas	LAS 08:50 → COS 11:45WN 4326	7h 15m	100%	88%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:52 → DAL 07:05WN 1636	2h 10m Dallas	DAL 09:15 → COS 10:22WN 551	5h 30m	98%	87%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	2h 55m Dallas	DAL 11:05 → COS 12:00WN 3257	6h 00m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	HOU 08:15 → DEN 09:45WN 1971	3h 30m Denver	DEN 13:15 → COS 14:03WN 3896	6h 48m	100%	77%
Southwest Details →	HOU 06:35 → LAS 07:40WN 1998	1h 30m Las Vegas	LAS 09:10 → COS 12:04WN 206	6h 29m	91%	76%
Southwest Details →	HOU 18:25 → LAS 19:35WN 2003	2h 50m Las Vegas	LAS 22:25 → COS 01:20 +1WN 2214	7h 55m	99%	76%
Southwest Details →	HOU 08:10 → MDW 10:40WN 1294	1h 50m Chicago	MDW 12:30 → COS 14:00WN 1230	6h 50m	95%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	HOU 18:25 → DAL 19:38WN 50	52m Dallas	DAL 20:30 → COS 21:35WN 1245	4h 10m	68%	48%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:00 → PHX 12:40WN 2063	1h 00m Phoenix	PHX 13:40 → COS 16:28WN 1280	5h 28m	53%	36%
Southwest Details →	HOU 10:45 → LAS 11:55WN 652	55m Las Vegas	LAS 12:50 → COS 15:43WN 2171	5h 58m	44%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON