tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3109 Southwest MIA 05:21 HOU 06:58 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2927 Southwest Flight history → MIA 05:10 HOU 06:45 8% 2% 0.6% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195 7h 10m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 6h 42m 97% 82%
SouthwestDetails → MIA 06:20 → BWI 08:55WN 974 1h 52m Baltimore BWI 10:47 → HOU 13:14WN 1010 7h 54m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226 3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:51 → HOU 12:16AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 7h 51m 99% 79%
SouthwestDetails → MIA 05:25 → MCO 06:30WN 4086 1h 35m Orlando MCO 08:05 → HOU 09:35WN 2637 5h 10m 91% 78%
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:00 → ATL 18:25DL 1579 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051 6h 51m 96% 77%
SouthwestDetails → MIA 17:00 → DAL 19:00WN 1374 3h 00m Dallas DAL 22:00 → HOU 23:15WN 63 7h 15m 98% 75%
AmericanDetails → MIA 12:18 → DFW 14:39AA 3019 3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:34 → HOU 19:53AA 3351 · flown by Envoy 8h 35m 97% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 19:30 → DFW 21:45AA 3104 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA 5h 26m 67% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON