Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:36 am at West Palm Beach)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2926 at 12:25, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2926 Delta Flight history →	PBI 12:25	DTW 15:20	18%	6%	1.0%	88%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PBI 15:58 → ORD 18:32UA 312	2h 48m Chicago	ORD 21:20 → DTW 23:54UA 3475 · flown by Republic	7h 56m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	PBI 12:50 → ATL 14:48DL 1527	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	7h 23m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	PBI 13:59 → ATL 15:54DL 1190	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262	7h 12m	99%	80%
American Details →	PBI 13:05 → ORD 15:29AA 2269	2h 42m Chicago	ORD 18:11 → DTW 20:46AA 3500 · flown by Envoy	7h 41m	96%	80%
American Details →	PBI 05:43 → CLT 07:40AA 2848	3h 48m Charlotte	CLT 11:28 → DTW 13:16AA 1683	7h 33m	100%	79%
American Details →	PBI 07:05 → DFW 09:19AA 1220	2h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:34 → DTW 15:19AA 679	8h 14m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	PBI 16:55 → ATL 18:53DL 838	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651	6h 49m	98%	77%
American Details →	PBI 10:09 → CLT 12:07AA 2278	2h 31m Charlotte	CLT 14:38 → DTW 16:29AA 1897	6h 20m	97%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	PBI 14:40 → BWI 17:05WN 1072	55m Baltimore	BWI 18:00 → DTW 19:35WN 4159	4h 55m	71%	52%
Southwest Details →	PBI 11:30 → BNA 12:50WN 4599	58m Nashville	BNA 13:48 → DTW 16:30WN 4968	5h 00m	68%	47%
American Details →	PBI 14:14 → DFW 16:28AA 2276	1h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:28 → DTW 21:03AA 2508	6h 49m	69%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON