tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3083 at 06:10, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3083 Southwest Flight history → PBI 06:10 MCO 07:10 6% 2% 1.5% 98%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189 1h 50m Baltimore BWI 11:40 → MCO 14:08WN 1058 6h 43m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → PBI 06:00 → EWR 08:54UA 2158 2h 16m Newark EWR 11:10 → MCO 14:03UA 2396 8h 03m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → PBI 05:43 → CLT 07:40AA 2848 2h 29m Charlotte CLT 10:09 → MCO 11:57AA 2074 6h 14m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:20 → LGA 10:10DL 2532 1h 39m New York LGA 11:49 → MCO 14:42DL 2564 7h 22m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:00 → ATL 08:50DL 1352 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 6h 00m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → PBI 08:00 → ATL 09:49DL 1301 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 12:58 → MCO 14:28DL 1576 6h 28m 98% 77%
JetBlueDetails → PBI 06:46 → JFK 09:35B6 854 1h 20m New York JFK 10:55 → MCO 14:03B6 383 7h 17m 97% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PBI 10:09 → CLT 12:07AA 2278 50m Charlotte CLT 12:57 → MCO 14:36AA 2877 4h 27m 67% 49%
UnitedDetails → PBI 17:05 → IAH 18:59UA 1752 51m Houston IAH 19:50 → MCO 23:22UA 2323 6h 17m 60% 40%
JetBlueDetails → PBI 13:13 → ISP 15:58B6 544 50m Islip ISP 16:48 → MCO 19:44B6 847 6h 31m 64% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON