Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 15 nonstops
Tomorrow: AA 1252 at 06:00 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 24–39%.
Against a calm day
21%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 22% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 1252 American Flight history → | PHL 06:00 | MIA 08:56 | 10% | 3% | 2.1% | 89% |
| AA 3042 American | PHL 05:05 | MIA 08:00 | 12% | 4% | 1.8% | no record |
| AA 2184 American Flight history → | PHL 08:15 | MIA 11:12 | 16% | 3% | 1.3% | 91% |
| AA 1857 American | PHL 07:19 | MIA 10:02 | 16% | 4% | 1.8% | no record |
| AA 796 American Flight history → | PHL 10:00 | MIA 12:59 | 18% | 5% | 1.2% | 70% |
| AA 1985 American | PHL 09:52 | MIA 12:54 | 19% | 5% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 3302 American Flight history → | PHL 11:30 | MIA 14:29 | 19% | 6% | 1.3% | 76% |
| AA 1989 American | PHL 11:40 | MIA 14:40 | 19% | 6% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 1181 American Flight history → | PHL 19:55 | MIA 23:09 | 24% | 7% | 2.1% | 69% |
| AA 2111 American Flight history → | PHL 18:35 | MIA 21:38 | 25% | 9% | 1.8% | 63% |
| AA 3265 American Flight history → | PHL 14:26 | MIA 17:27 | 25% | 9% | 1.9% | 67% |
| AA 2243 American | PHL 13:22 | MIA 16:17 | 26% | 6% | 1.9% | no record |
| AA 2936 American Flight history → | PHL 21:55 | MIA 00:52 | 26% | 8% | 2.3% | 61% |
| AA 3306 American Flight history → | PHL 16:25 | MIA 19:27 | 27% | 9% | 1.9% | 75% |
| F9 1203 Frontier Flight history → | PHL 17:25 | MIA 20:26 | 39% | 21% | 1.8% | 65% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON