Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 47 nonstops
Tomorrow looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 27%, against 16% on a calm day. Safest: WN 1053 at 06:14, 8%.
Weather
27%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 16% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| WN 1053 Southwest | BWI 06:14 | MCO 08:43 | 8% | 1% | 0.6% | no record |
| WN 984 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 06:35 | MCO 08:55 | 9% | 1% | 0.6% | 88% |
| WN 4580 Southwest Flight history → | DCA 06:00 | MCO 08:20 | 10% | 3% | 0.4% | 95% |
| WN 1500 Southwest | DCA 06:12 | MCO 08:42 | 11% | 3% | 0.5% | no record |
| AA 592 American Flight history → | DCA 06:30 | MCO 08:55 | 11% | 4% | 0.6% | 90% |
| WN 3373 Southwest | BWI 08:15 | MCO 10:45 | 14% | 3% | 0.5% | no record |
| DL 1003 Delta Flight history → | DCA 06:59 | MCO 09:20 | 15% | 4% | 0.6% | 82% |
| WN 1058 Southwest | BWI 11:40 | MCO 14:08 | 15% | 6% | 0.7% | no record |
| WN 986 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 08:05 | MCO 10:20 | 15% | 2% | 0.5% | 79% |
| UA 379 United Flight history → | IAD 08:45 | MCO 11:08 | 15% | 4% | 0.7% | 89% |
| AA 3273 American Flight history → | DCA 07:45 | MCO 10:14 | 16% | 5% | 0.6% | 97%worse than usual |
| WN 1057 Southwest | BWI 09:03 | MCO 11:32 | 16% | 2% | 0.5% | no record |
| WN 988 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 11:35 | MCO 13:55 | 17% | 6% | 0.7% | 61% |
| WN 3658 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 09:30 | MCO 11:50 | 19% | 2% | 0.5% | 84% |
| UA 2206 United Flight history → | IAD 12:35 | MCO 14:58 | 20% | 9% | 0.9% | 86% |
| F9 3273 Frontier Flight history → | BWI 09:21 | MCO 11:58 | 21% | 8% | 1.1% | 81% |
| WN 790 Southwest | BWI 12:55 | MCO 15:25 | 22% | 10% | 0.8% | no record |
| UA 2861 United | IAD 15:49 | MCO 18:26 | 24% | 11% | 1.0% | no record |
| B6 2423 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 07:25 | MCO 09:46 | 24% | 8% | 0.6% | 79% |
| AA 1643 American | DCA 10:57 | MCO 13:31 | 24% | 6% | 0.9% | no record |
| AA 2128 American Flight history → | DCA 07:56 | MCO 10:17 | 25% | 6% | 0.6% | 74% |
| WN 4374 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 12:30 | MCO 14:50 | 25% | 10% | 0.8% | 62% |
| F9 4355 Frontier Flight history → | IAD 11:10 | MCO 13:52 | 25% | 15% | 1.3% | 68% |
| WN 2541 Southwest | BWI 14:55 | MCO 17:26 | 27% | 12% | 0.9% | no record |
| AA 2104 American Flight history → | DCA 09:00 | MCO 11:28 | 28% | 7% | 0.5% | 90%worse than usual |
| AA 2062 American Flight history → | DCA 11:25 | MCO 13:51 | 30% | 6% | 0.9% | 87%worse than usual |
| WN 4891 Southwest | DCA 12:40 | MCO 14:59 | 30% | 10% | 0.8% | no record |
| UA 1101 United Flight history → | IAD 15:37 | MCO 17:59 | 31% | 14% | 1.0% | 62% |
| UA 2463 United Flight history → | IAD 17:22 | MCO 19:45 | 31% | 15% | 1.2% | 71% |
| WN 176 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 16:30 | MCO 19:00 | 31% | 14% | 1.6% | 42% |
| WN 172 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 17:45 | MCO 20:20 | 31% | 15% | 2.1% | 47% |
| WN 1066 Southwest | BWI 19:45 | MCO 22:16 | 31% | 14% | 2.1% | no record |
| DL 1621 Delta | DCA 14:48 | MCO 17:19 | 31% | 13% | 2.2% | no record |
| WN 1887 Southwest | BWI 17:20 | MCO 19:49 | 33% | 14% | 1.8% | no record |
| WN 3416 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 19:45 | MCO 22:15 | 33% | 14% | 2.1% | 66% |
| WN 3777 Southwest Flight history → | BWI 18:40 | MCO 21:10 | 35% | 16% | 2.1% | 55% |
| B6 1923 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 11:50 | MCO 14:04 | 35% | 14% | 0.9% | 71% |
| WN 1440 Southwest Flight history → | DCA 13:05 | MCO 15:25 | 35% | 12% | 0.9% | 57% |
| WN 1064 Southwest | BWI 18:02 | MCO 20:30 | 37% | 16% | 1.9% | no record |
| WN 1065 Southwest | BWI 18:55 | MCO 21:23 | 37% | 16% | 2.1% | no record |
| F9 4003 Frontier Flight history → | BWI 21:38 | MCO 00:09 | 39% | 18% | 5.3% | 59% |
| AA 2509 American Flight history → | DCA 14:11 | MCO 16:37 | 41% | 13% | 1.3% | 76%worse than usual |
| WN 1441 Southwest Flight history → | DCA 17:25 | MCO 20:00 | 44% | 17% | 1.9% | 32% |
| F9 3663 Frontier Flight history → | BWI 15:21 | MCO 17:53 | 46% | 22% | 4.4% | 72%worse than usual |
| WN 1502 Southwest | DCA 17:35 | MCO 19:54 | 47% | 16% | 1.6% | no record |
| AA 2139 American Flight history → | DCA 19:53 | MCO 22:15 | 48% | 16% | 1.9% | 57% |
| B6 2523 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 18:55 | MCO 21:17 | 58% | 28% | 1.9% | 62%worse than usual |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON