LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 34 departures in the next 90 min are tight

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1. Initial Observed Sun Oct 25, 5:47 PM PDT

   LAX: 10 of 38 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

   Of the 60 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 5:47 PM and 7:17 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 38. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	5:47 PM–7:17 PM PDT · 60 departures, aircraft known for 38
   Tight turns	10 (26%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	1 not taken off · 5 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	WN 3541 to SFO at 6:56 PM: aircraft N8974K, inbound WN 3541 from SLC (airborne), -20 min to turn
   Tightest	AA 134 to LHR at 6:20 PM: aircraft N726AN, inbound AAL72 from SYD (not departed), -1 min to turn
   Tightest	OO 3883 to SJC at 6:17 PM: aircraft N242SY, inbound OO 3842 from SJC (airborne), 0 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 594 to HOU at 6:36 PM: aircraft N8877Q, inbound WN 1048 from BWI (airborne), 13 min to turn
   Tightest	DL 1634 to ORD at 5:48 PM: aircraft N3743H, inbound DL 986 from AUS (landed), 20 min to turn
   Source event time	Sun Oct 25, 5:47 PM PDT
   Ingested	Sun Oct 25, 5:47 PM PDT
   Published here	Sun Oct 25, 5:47 PM PDT (2026-10-26 00:47 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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2. Recovery Observed Sun Oct 25, 10:52 PM PDT

   LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 34 departures in the next 90 min are tight

   What changed: tight share 28% at worst → 3% now

   Of the 43 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 10:52 PM and 12:22 AM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	10:52 PM–12:22 AM PDT · 43 departures, aircraft known for 34
   Tight turns	1 (3%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	0 not taken off · 1 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	WN 2491 to MDW at 12:01 AM: aircraft N7713A, inbound WN 962 from SFO (airborne), 3 min to turn
   Source event time	Sun Oct 25, 10:52 PM PDT
   Ingested	Sun Oct 25, 10:52 PM PDT
   Published here	Sun Oct 25, 10:52 PM PDT (2026-10-26 05:52 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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