Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 hstaleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 hstaleWeather observations no datastaleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min
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No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.
Lightning is stale (221 h old).
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Of the 17 departures scheduled from Seattle (SEA) between 11:08 PM and 12:38 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 14. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SEA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 11:08 PM–12:38 AM PSTTight turns 1 of 14Share 7%
Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:06 PM and 12:36 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 11:06 PM–12:36 AM PSTTight turns 0 of 15Share 0%
Of the 13 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:45 PM and 1:15 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 11:45 PM–1:15 AM MSTTight turns 0 of 12Share 0%
Of the 54 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 9:52 PM and 11:22 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 9:52 PM–11:22 PM PSTTight turns 1 of 40Share 2%
Of the 15 departures scheduled from St Louis (STL) between 9:09 PM and 10:39 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into STL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 9:09 PM–10:39 PM CSTTight turns 8 of 15Share 53%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View STL
Of the 22 departures scheduled from BWI (BWI) between 9:59 PM and 11:29 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 22. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BWI is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 9:59 PM–11:29 PM ESTTight turns 10 of 22Share 45%
Of the 19 departures scheduled from Tampa (TPA) between 8:27 PM and 9:57 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 16. For 11 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into TPA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 8:27 PM–9:57 PM ESTTight turns 11 of 16Share 69%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View TPA
Of the 31 departures scheduled from Midway (MDW) between 5:55 PM and 7:25 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 27. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MDW is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 5:55 PM–7:25 PM CSTTight turns 8 of 27Share 30%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View MDW
Of the 22 departures scheduled from Kansas City (MCI) between 5:38 PM and 7:08 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MCI is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 5:38 PM–7:08 PM CSTTight turns 8 of 15Share 53%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View MCI
Of the 21 departures scheduled from Love Field (DAL) between 5:28 PM and 6:58 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 16. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DAL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 5:28 PM–6:58 PM CSTTight turns 9 of 16Share 56%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View DAL
Of the 53 departures scheduled from MCO (MCO) between 6:12 PM and 7:42 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MCO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 6:12 PM–7:42 PM ESTTight turns 9 of 34Share 26%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View MCO
Of the 32 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 4:49 PM and 6:19 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 4:49 PM–6:19 PM CSTTight turns 8 of 17Share 47%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View BNA
Of the 39 departures scheduled from JFK (JFK) between 5:33 PM and 7:03 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 13. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into JFK is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 5:33 PM–7:03 PM ESTTight turns 1 of 13Share 8%
Of the 44 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 4:56 PM and 6:26 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 4:56 PM–6:26 PM ESTTight turns 9 of 24Share 38%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View DCA
Of the 33 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 1:15 PM and 2:45 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 19. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 1:15 PM–2:45 PM PSTTight turns 10 of 19Share 53%
Of the 27 departures scheduled from Hobby (HOU) between 1:46 PM and 3:16 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 25. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into HOU is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 1:46 PM–3:16 PM CSTTight turns 9 of 25Share 36%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View HOU
Of the 45 departures scheduled from Boston (BOS) between 2:10 PM and 3:40 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 27. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BOS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 2:10 PM–3:40 PM ESTTight turns 10 of 27Share 37%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View BOS
Of the 54 departures scheduled from LaGuardia (LGA) between 1:49 PM and 3:19 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 25. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LGA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 3 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 1:49 PM–3:19 PM ESTTight turns 8 of 25Share 32%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View LGA
Of the 49 departures scheduled from O'Hare (ORD) between 9:58 PM and 11:28 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 42. For 5 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ORD is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 9:58 PM–11:28 PM CSTTight turns 5 of 42Share 12%
Of the 25 departures scheduled from St Louis (STL) between 5:36 PM and 7:06 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 21. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into STL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 5:36 PM–7:06 PM CSTTight turns 9 of 21Share 43%
Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedulesTimeline (1)View STL
Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 6:26 PM and 7:56 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 6:26 PM–7:56 PM PSTTight turns 1 of 33Share 3%
Of the 16 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:30 PM and 1:00 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 11:30 PM–1:00 AM PSTTight turns 1 of 12Share 8%
Of the 47 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 8:50 PM and 10:20 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 8:50 PM–10:20 PM PSTTight turns 3 of 40Share 8%
Of the 17 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 10:21 PM and 11:51 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 10:21 PM–11:51 PM CSTTight turns 2 of 17Share 12%
Of the 21 departures scheduled from SFO (SFO) between 6:59 PM and 8:29 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 14. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SFO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 6:59 PM–8:29 PM PSTTight turns 0 of 14Share 0%
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Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?