tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft DCA departures

National: 9 of 24 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
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Create monitor View DCAFlights at DCA

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  1. Initial Observed

    National: 9 of 24 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 44 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 4:56 PM and 6:26 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled4:56 PM–6:26 PM EST · 44 departures, aircraft known for 24
    Tight turns9 (38%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in0 not taken off · 4 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestYX 4500 to IND at 5:03 PM: aircraft N420YX, inbound YX 4441 from BDL (airborne), -12 min to turn
    TightestYX 4689 to ATL at 5:36 PM: aircraft N103HQ, inbound YX 4399 from CMH (airborne), 4 min to turn
    TightestOH 5236 to HPN at 5:00 PM: aircraft N545PB, inbound OH 5215 from IAH (landed), 5 min to turn
    TightestOH 5204 to CHS at 5:21 PM: aircraft N540EG, inbound OH 5208 from GSP (airborne), 6 min to turn
    TightestAA 668 to LAX at 5:09 PM: aircraft N318SF, inbound AA 789 from PHX (landed), 20 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 21:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 4:12 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.