National arrivals back near normal: 14% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:53 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National arrivals running late: 54% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 24 arrivals that landed between 4:08 PM and 5:08 PM EST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 28% of arrivals at National arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:08 PM–5:08 PM EST Sample 24 flights, 13 late (54%) Comparison 28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 15.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 22:08 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National arrivals back near normal: 14% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 54% at worst → 14% now
Of 21 arrivals that landed between 5:53 PM and 6:53 PM EST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 28% of arrivals at National arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:53 PM–6:53 PM EST Sample 21 flights, 3 late (14%) Comparison 28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -2.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 23:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?