tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 1 minFAA flight data 1 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather MIA arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

Current state
Resolved at 9:51 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Lightning within 10 nm of Miami: 4 flashes in 15 minutes

    Tailodds counted 4 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Miami (MIA) in the 15 minutes to 8:05 PM EST, 0 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 7.3 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 7:57 PM EST, reports light rain, ceiling 1500 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 5 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 030057Z VRB05KT 10SM -RA SCT005 BKN015 OVC035 22/22 A2999 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S AND SW OCNL LTGIC DSNT S-W-NW CB DSNT S-W-NW P0000 T02220217 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 7:57 PM EST
    Lightning4 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 8:05 PM, nearest 7.3 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 01:05 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Miami: 12 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: lightning within 10 nm → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 21 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Miami (MIA) in the 15 minutes to 8:40 PM EST, 12 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 2.3 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 8:25 PM EST, reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 2000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 6 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 030125Z 28006KT 10SM -TSRA SCT008 OVC020CB 23/22 A3000 RMK AO2 TSB25 OCNL LTGICCG NW-N TS NW-N MOV N P0004 T02280217 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 8:25 PM EST
    Lightning21 flashes within 10 nm, 12 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 8:40 PM, nearest 2.3 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 01:40 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports light thunderstorm with rain at Miami

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → light thunderstorm with rain

    The 8:53 PM EST official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) reports light thunderstorm with rain; mist, ceiling 1600 ft, visibility 6 mi, wind 3 kt. Coded weather: “-TSRA BR”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 13 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 9:11 PM EST, the nearest 0.4 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 030153Z VRB03KT 6SM -TSRA BR SCT007 OVC016CB 23/22 A3001 RMK AO2 TSB25 SLP161 OCNL LTGIC N AND S TS N AND S MOV N P0016 T02280217 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 8:53 PM EST
    Lightning13 flashes within 10 nm, 5 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 9:11 PM, nearest 0.4 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 02:11 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

    What changed: light thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 8:53 PM EST. The latest, at 9:43 PM EST, reports ceiling 3000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 3 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Miami in the 30 minutes to 9:50 PM EST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 030243Z 26003KT 10SM SCT015CB BKN030 OVC050 23/22 A2999 RMK AO2 RAE38 TSE42 TS DSIPTD CB SE-S MOV NW P0017 T02330222 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 9:43 PM EST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 9:50 PM
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 02:51 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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