tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay IAH arrivals

Bush arrivals back near normal: 12% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 1:08 PM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View IAHFlights at IAH

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Bush arrivals running late: 67% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 21 arrivals that landed between 10:52 AM and 11:52 AM CST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:52 AM–11:52 AM CST
    Sample21 flights, 14 late (67%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 17:52 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Bush arrival delays ease: 44% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 67% → 44%

    Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:29 AM and 12:29 PM CST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:29 AM–12:29 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 7 late (44%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-1.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 18:29 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. Recovery Observed

    Bush arrivals back near normal: 12% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 74% at worst → 12% now

    Of 50 arrivals that landed between 12:08 PM and 1:08 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:08 PM–1:08 PM CST
    Sample50 flights, 6 late (12%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-11.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 19:08 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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