tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay IAH departures

Bush departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 3:11 PM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View IAHFlights at IAH

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Bush departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 departures that took off between 1:05 PM and 2:05 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window1:05 PM–2:05 PM CST
    Sample18 flights, 8 late (44%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay12.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 20:05 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Recovery Observed

    Bush departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 58% at worst → 9% now

    Of 46 departures that took off between 2:11 PM and 3:11 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:11 PM–3:11 PM CST
    Sample46 flights, 4 late (9%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour
    Median delay4.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 21:11 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?