tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 4 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 70 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 6 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 6 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Delay IND departures

Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Monday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View INDFlights at IND

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Indianapolis departures 6–9 PM Monday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 26 departures scheduled from Indianapolis 6–9 PM Monday an average 42% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 26%. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetIND departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-09 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)42% over 26 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonMon Nov 9, 4:00 PM EST · 1.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 21:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Mon Nov 9, 6:00 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.