tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay IAH arrivals

Bush arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 8:46 PM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View IAHFlights at IAH

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Bush arrivals running late: 41% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 29 arrivals that landed between 6:51 PM and 7:51 PM CST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:51 PM–7:51 PM CST
    Sample29 flights, 12 late (41%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay2.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 01:51 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Bush arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% at worst → 22% now

    Of 36 arrivals that landed between 7:46 PM and 8:46 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:46 PM–8:46 PM CST
    Sample36 flights, 8 late (22%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 02:46 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?