Model raises expected cancellations to about 24 among LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 14 cancellations among LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 115 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~14.0 over 115 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 1:00 PM PST · 4.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 21:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 24 among LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday
What changed: about 14 → 24 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM PST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 24 of the 115 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (21%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~23.8 over 115 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 3:00 PM PST · 2.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 23:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?