Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 6 cancellations among LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 97 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.9 over 97 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 1:00 PM PST · 7.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 21:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
What changed: about 6 → 10 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM PST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 99 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~10.0 over 99 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 3:00 PM PST · 5.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 23:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?