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Forecast Major New Cancellation BWI departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among BWI departures 6–9 AM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among BWI departures 6–9 AM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 59 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetBWI departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.1 over 59 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST · 7.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 03:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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