tailodds FORECAST
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Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation SMF departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Sacramento departures 3–6 PM Saturday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Sacramento departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 22 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (27%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSMF departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.0 over 22 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 2:00 PM PST · 0.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 22:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 14, 3:00 PM PST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.