Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.4 over 61 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
What changed: about 8 → 5 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~4.7 over 61 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM EST · 8.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 11:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 5 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
What changed: about 5 → 5 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.1 over 61 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM EST · 6.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 13:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 6 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
What changed: about 5 → 6 expected cancellations since the 7:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.2 over 61 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 8:00 AM EST · 5.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 14:25 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday
What changed: about 6 → 8 expected cancellations since the 8:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 61 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.2 over 61 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 12:00 PM EST · 2.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 17:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?