Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among LAX departures 3–6 PM Sunday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 7 cancellations among LAX departures 3–6 PM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 115 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.8 over 115 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM PST · 8.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 14:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among LAX departures 3–6 PM Sunday
What changed: about 7 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM PST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 116 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~10.8 over 116 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 10:00 AM PST · 3.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 19:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?