tailodds FORECAST

Wire

Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

Live · checked FAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 1 hFAA flight data 1 min
News desk major developments and corrections Airport operations restrictions, deterioration, recovery
Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports. Inbound-aircraft alerts are not on the wire yet, so check the flight page for those.

Airline analyst not yet available

Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.

Filters (2)
Event type
Evidence
Location
Metro areas

Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

Severity
Status
Published
Forecast horizon
h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

Time zone

“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Delay ×Airport: EWR × Clear filters
Latest per event All updates
EDT, Oct 16 3 h ago
Forecast 54% Significant New Delay EWR departures

Model forecasts 54% delay risk for Newark departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 32 departures scheduled from Newark 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 54%Horizon 5.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View EWR
EDT, Oct 16 3 h ago
Forecast 57% Significant Resolved Delay EWR departures

Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Newark departures 6–9 PM Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 111 departures scheduled from Newark 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 57%Horizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View EWR

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

Create an alert from this view

Matches: Type: Delay · Airport: EWR. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

Minimum severity
Which updates
Delivery
to

Corrections and retractions always reach you if you got the original, even if they no longer match. Nothing is sent outside Tailodds without email switched on.