DL 2187 · MSP → MIA

departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 11:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.66 in

MIA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2187 · MSP → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?