Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
MQ 3380 · MIA → TUL
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 34%
Thu 10/1 31%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.21 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.