Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 4473 · RST → MSP
departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 20%
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave RST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
RST usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RST (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,033 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.