Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 4473 · RST → MSP
departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 10%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSP that day
↓
RST usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RST (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.