Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 4473 · RST → MSP
departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave RST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
RST usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RST (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.