Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5645 LANDED 3:56 PM CT, ~39 MIN EARLY
Today

YX 5645 · DCA → MSN

took off 3:17 PM ET · landed 3:56 PM CT (scheduled 3:20 PM ET → 4:39 PM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to MSN?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.