Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2564 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2564 · DFW → ABQ

departs 10:56 PM CT · arrives 11:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

94% chance · ±0 pts +42 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
6%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ABQ that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2564 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?