tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2819 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2819 · ORD → PHL

departs 3:29 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    21%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.