Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 431 SCHEDULED
Today

AA 431 · ORD → SAT

departs 9:19 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to SAT?

  1. On time or early
    37%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    31%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.