Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3657 · MAF → DFW
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 47%
Fri 10/2 54%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
8pm departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.