Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3938 · MLI → DFW
departs 11:09 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 68%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MLI that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.06 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.