OO 4632 · ACV → SFO

departs 4:12 PM PT · arrives 5:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4632 · ACV → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?