Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4632
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4632 · ACV → SFO
departs 7:40 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at ACV that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ACV (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.