Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4632 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4632 · ACV → SFO

departs 7:40 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 56% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at ACV that day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ ACV is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4632 · ACV → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?