Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
OO 5917 · IAH → ASE
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 41%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ASE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.