Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2985SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AA 2985 · RDU → DCA
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.