Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1015 · SJU → PHL
departs 6:44 AM AT · arrives 10:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.