Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3539 · GPT → DFW
departs 11:27 AM CT · arrives 1:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 50%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.