MQ 3795 · DFW → CRP

departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 6:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at CRP that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

CRP (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3795 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?