WN 1417 · DAL → MEM

departs 12:26 PM CT · arrives 2:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

MEM (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1417 · DAL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?