Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2116 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2116 · CLT → MEM

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ MEM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2116 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?