Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2347 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2347 · ALB → DCA

departs 3:33 PM ET · arrives 5:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2347 · ALB → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?