Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 682SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 682 · SEA → SMF
departs 7:28 AM PT · arrives 9:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.