tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 682 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AS 682 · SEA → DEN

departs 7:19 AM PT · arrives 10:55 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 114h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
23% chance · ±12 pts +13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DEN?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.