Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 682SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 682 · SEA → SMF
departs 7:28 AM PT · arrives 9:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.