Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 682SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 682 · SEA → SMF
departs 7:28 AM PT · arrives 9:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.