Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1224 · PVD → MSP
departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.