Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1224 · PVD → MSP
departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.